
La Liga · Matchday
2026-04-25 12:00:00 · 20:00

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 2-1
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Match Report
Deportivo Alavés 2–1 Mallorca | La Liga | 25 April 2026
Result Summary
A battling second-half display from Deportivo Alavés saw them overturn a first-half deficit to claim all three points at home, defeating Mallorca 2–1 in a contest that shifted decisively after the break. Antonio Martínez López proved the decisive figure, completing a brace to send Enrique Sánchez Flores' side to victory after Jan Virgili Tenas had put the visitors in front.
Match Analysis
Mallorca made the brighter start and were rewarded as early as the 18th minute when Jan Virgili Tenas converted from a Samú Costa assist, rifling home a right-foot shot to give Martín Demichelis' side a deserved lead. It was a disciplined opening from Mallorca, who looked to stay compact and utilise their attacking transitions effectively.
However, the statistics tell a clear story of Alavés' overall dominance. The hosts generated 48 dangerous attacks to Mallorca's 38, registered 15 total shots compared to just 4 from the visitors, and created an extraordinary 15 key passes — contrasting sharply with Mallorca's single key pass across the entire match. Alavés also earned 9 corners to Mallorca's 4, underlining their sustained territorial pressure throughout the contest.
The second half saw Sánchez Flores' men translate that statistical superiority into goals. Antonio Martínez López pulled Alavés level on 56 minutes, heading home a cross from Abde Rebbach to restore parity and inject momentum into the home side. Just 13 minutes later, Martínez López struck again — this time with a composed right-foot finish assisted by Ángel Pérez — to complete his brace and put Alavés firmly in control.
Despite holding an equal 50% ball possession share, Mallorca were unable to find a response. Their 4 shots on target fell to just 2, and Demichelis introduced Manuel Morlanes Ariño and later Mateu Jaume Morey Bauzà and Antonio Latorre Grueso in an attempt to find an equaliser, but Alavés managed the closing stages with relative composure. On the bookings front, Jonathan Castro Otto (26') and Victor Parada González (76') were cautioned for Alavés, while Mallorca's Martin Valjent received a yellow card on 59'. The early substitution of Lucas Boyé as early as the 4th minute, replaced by Ibrahim Yalatif Diabate, was also a notable tactical adjustment for the hosts.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–1 draw, assigning a 29% probability to that outcome and placing Alavés as modest favourites at 45.7%. The prediction proved incorrect — while we anticipated a closely contested affair, we underestimated Alavés' ability to convert their attacking volume into decisive goals. The confidence level of 56/100 reflected genuine uncertainty, and the match's first-half deficit for the eventual winners added to the unpredictability. In retrospect, Alavés' statistical edge in dangerous attacks and key passes signalled they had the greater capacity to win the match.
Key Takeaways
- Antonio Martínez López was the undisputed match-winner, delivering a clinical second-half brace to rescue and then secure the points for Alavés.
- The 15 to 1 key pass differential was a striking indicator of Mallorca's lack of creativity, despite matching Alavés in possession and overall attack numbers.
- For Martín Demichelis, a promising opening 45 minutes was ultimately undone by an inability to sustain defensive resilience after the break.
- Alavés' second-half character under Sánchez Flores will be a significant confidence boost as the season heads into its final stretch.
Deportivo Alavés vs Mallorca — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Deportivo Alavés vs Mallorca?
PredictNext's AI model favours Deportivo Alavés (also known as Deportivo Alaves) with a 46% win probability — Deportivo Alavés 46%, draw 29%, Mallorca 25%.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Alavés vs Mallorca?
The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Deportivo Alavés vs Mallorca, generated with 56% model confidence.
Will Deportivo Alavés vs Mallorca have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for under 2.5 goals in Deportivo Alavés vs Mallorca.
How accurate was the Deportivo Alavés vs Mallorca prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 2-1. The winner call was correct.