Deportivo La Coruña
Deportivo La Coruña
1 vs 1

La Liga · Matchday

2026-08-17 19:00:00 · 03:00

Elche
Elche

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 1-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Deportivo La Coruña
DEP
1 - 0
Elche
ELC
46%
Confidence
Low Confidence
42.0%Home
29.0%Draw
29.0%Away
39.3%Home
32.7%Draw
28.0%Away
**Deportivo La Coruña** hold a narrow edge at home, backed by three wins in the last four H2H meetings against **Elche**, though lineups are still pending and confidence remains measured. The decisive factor could be Deportivo's home fortress advantage, where compact defensive shape may be enough to grind out a slim victory in what projects as a tight, low-scoring affair. AI pick: Deportivo La Coruña Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
71% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
64% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
67% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Deportivo La Coruña Elche
14%
62%
0
45%
38%
1
41%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

42%
39%
+2.7%
29%
33%
-3.7%
29%
28%
+1.0%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Deportivo La Coruña 1–1 Elche | La Liga | 17 August 2026

Result Summary

A hard-fought opening-weekend draw at Riazor saw Deportivo La Coruña and Elche share the spoils, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang's early strike cancelled out by Marc Aguado Pallares's second-half header. Both sides will feel a mixture of satisfaction and frustration — Deportivo for surrendering a lead they had held for over 50 minutes, Elche for failing to convert their statistical dominance into a winning margin.


Match Analysis

Deportivo La Coruña made the brighter start, and it was Lorenzo Amatucci who provided the creative spark, threading an assist that allowed Aubameyang to finish with his left foot in the 21st minute — a clinical opener that rewarded the hosts' early intent. However, the statistics tell a story of a team that then retreated. Elche controlled the contest from that point, finishing with 61% ball possession to Deportivo's 39%, accumulating 11 total shots compared to the home side's 8, and generating an impressive 10 key passes against just 6 for Antonio Hidalgo Morilla's men.

Elche's territorial advantage was also reflected in the corner count — 6 to 2 in their favour — and their accuracy on the ball, with a successful pass percentage of 88% against Deportivo's 82%. Despite this pressure, Deportivo's defensive structure held for much of the second half, with the home side committing 17 fouls across the 90 minutes — a sign of the physical effort required to contain a fluid Elche side.

The visitors' tactical adjustments at the hour mark proved significant. Martin Anselmi introduced Lucas Cepeda and José Antonio Morente Oliva simultaneously at the 60th minute, injecting fresh legs into what had become a congested midfield battle. Hidalgo Morilla responded in kind, bringing on Zakaria Eddahchouri and Diego Villares Yáñez, but it was Elche who found the breakthrough. Gonzalo Villar — booked earlier in the half for a foul — delivered the assist that mattered, setting up Marc Aguado Pallares to head home in the 76th minute and restore parity for the visitors.

The disciplinary record was notable, with four yellow cards distributed across both sides. Amatucci's booking just before half-time at 45+1' added a layer of tension to the interval, and late substitute Umaru Konare Tounkara was cautioned shortly after coming on — a sign of the game's combative closing stages.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a Deportivo La Coruña victory at 1–0, backed by a 42% home-win probability and a confidence level of just 46/100 — reflecting genuine uncertainty heading in. The prediction proved incorrect, with the draw outcome (assessed at 29% probability) materialising instead. In hindsight, Elche's statistical dominance across shots on target (6 to 3), attacks, possession, and key passes suggested the visitors were always capable of finding a leveller. The low confidence rating was well-founded.


Key Takeaways

  • Aubameyang remains a threat in the final third, and Amatucci's creative contribution will be one to monitor going forward.
  • Elche's possession-based approach under Anselmi generates consistent pressure, though converting chances must improve — 6 shots on target yielded only one goal.
  • Deportivo's high foul count (17) and limited corner threat suggest they may face sustained pressure against top-half opponents.
  • A point apiece is a fair reflection of a competitive, if imperfect, season opener for both clubs.

Deportivo La Coruña vs Elche Head-to-Head

Last 4 meetings between Deportivo La Coruña and Elche: Deportivo La Coruña 3W · 0D · Elche 1W.

3

0

1

Wed, Apr 29, 2015Elche4-0Deportivo A Coruña
Mon, Dec 15, 2014Deportivo A Coruña1-0Elche
Wed, Nov 12, 2008Deportivo A Coruña2-0Elche
Wed, Oct 29, 2008Elche0-2Deportivo A Coruña

Deportivo La Coruña vs Elche — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Deportivo La Coruña vs Elche?

PredictNext's AI model favours Deportivo La Coruña (also known as Deportivo La Coruna) with a 42% win probability — Deportivo La Coruña 42%, draw 29%, Elche 29%.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruña vs Elche?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Deportivo La Coruña vs Elche, generated with 46% model confidence.

Will Deportivo La Coruña vs Elche have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 36% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for under 2.5 goals in Deportivo La Coruña vs Elche.

How accurate was the Deportivo La Coruña vs Elche prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 1-1. The winner call was incorrect.

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