
La Liga · Matchday
2026-05-23 19:00:00 · 03:00 · Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 1-0
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Match Report
Getafe 1–0 Osasuna | La Liga | 23 May 2026
Result Summary
A solitary goal from Luis Milla Manzanares proved enough for Getafe to claim all three points at home against Osasuna in this La Liga encounter. The home side's defensive discipline and clinical finishing in the second half rendered Osasuna's statistical superiority meaningless, as José Bordalás's men ground out a characteristic 1–0 victory.
Match Analysis
For much of the contest, Osasuna appeared the more threatening side on paper. They registered 11 shots to Getafe's 6, generated 41 dangerous attacks compared to 34 for the hosts, and produced 8 key passes versus Getafe's 4. Despite this, Alessio Lisci's side failed to convert their chances, managing only 5 shots on target without a single goal to show for their efforts.
Getafe, meanwhile, demonstrated the pragmatic efficiency that has long defined Bordalás's coaching philosophy. With 54% ball possession and a 68% successful pass rate, they controlled the game sufficiently, absorbing Osasuna's pressure before striking with purpose. The decisive moment arrived in the 59th minute, when Luis Vázquez delivered the assist and Luis Milla Manzanares converted with a right-foot shot to break the deadlock.
Notably, the goal came just two minutes after Flavien-Enzo Boyomos received a yellow card for a foul in the 57th minute — a moment that momentarily disrupted Osasuna's rhythm and may have contributed to the defensive lapse that led to the opener.
Osasuna responded with urgency in the final quarter, introducing Enrique Barja Afonso, Rubén García Santos, and Moisés Gómez Bordonado through a triple substitution around the 68th–70th minute, followed by Asier Osambela Larraya in the 81st minute. However, Getafe's backline — anchored by a disciplined defensive unit — stood firm. Mauro Arambarri picked up a late yellow card in the 90th minute, a reflection of the physical intensity required to hold the lead, while Osasuna's Aitor Fernández was cautioned at 90+2' for arguing, underscoring the frustration in the visiting camp. Getafe made late changes of their own, with David Cordón Mancha coming on in the 89th minute, helping secure the result.
Osasuna's 4 corners and 8 key passes highlight a team that created situations but lacked the cutting edge to punish a well-organised Getafe side. The 17 fouls committed by Getafe speak to the combative, results-driven approach that ultimately delivered the win.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–1 draw, with home win, draw, and away win probabilities assessed at 36%, 33%, and 31% respectively — a notably tight spread reflecting significant uncertainty, matched by a low confidence score of 40/100. While the model identified Getafe as slight favourites, it underestimated their defensive solidity and overestimated Osasuna's ability to find the net despite generating more shot volume. The outcome was a incorrect prediction, with the actual result falling in line with the home win probability but not the model's primary outcome.
Key Takeaways
- Luis Milla Manzanares was the match-winner, delivering a decisive finish in the 59th minute off Luis Vázquez's assist.
- Osasuna dominated several attacking metrics but were wasteful in front of goal, a critical failing in a tight match.
- Getafe's defensive organisation under Bordalás once again proved decisive, limiting a technically capable opponent.
- This result underlines the danger of relying solely on shot and attack statistics — Getafe's efficiency outweighed Osasuna's volume.
Getafe vs Osasuna Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Getafe and Osasuna: Getafe 16W · 12D · Osasuna 8W.
16
Getafe wins
12
Draws
8
Osasuna wins
Getafe vs Osasuna — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Getafe vs Osasuna?
PredictNext's AI model favours Getafe with a 36% win probability — Getafe 36%, draw 33%, Osasuna 31%.
What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Osasuna?
The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Getafe vs Osasuna, generated with 40% model confidence.
Will Getafe vs Osasuna have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in Getafe vs Osasuna.
How accurate was the Getafe vs Osasuna prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 1-0. The winner call was correct.