Girona
Girona
1 vs 1

La Liga · Matchday

2026-05-23 19:00:00 · 03:00 · Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Elche
Elche

AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 1-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Girona
GIR
1 - 1
Elche
ELC
55%
Confidence
Low Confidence
50.0%Home
26.0%Draw
24.0%Away
**Girona** enter this La Liga clash as slight favorites, with **Elche** weakened by the confirmed suspension of A. Giner Pedrosa, disrupting their defensive shape. **Girona**'s recent H2H dominance — winning three of the last four meetings — adds further weight to their advantage. The midfield battle will be decisive if **Elche** are to overcome their absentee issues. AI pick: Girona Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredGIR or Draw
76% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
54% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
53% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

GIR ELC
14%
16%
0
46%
66%
1
39%
18%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

50%
52%
-2.0%
26%
25%
+0.6%
24%
23%
+1.4%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

Girona 1–1 Elche | La Liga | 23 May 2026

Result Summary

A tense and physical encounter at Montilivi ended in a share of the spoils, as Girona and Elche played out a 1–1 draw in their La Liga meeting. Álvaro Daniel Rodríguez Muñoz broke the deadlock for the visitors just before half-time, only for Arnau Martínez to restore parity for the hosts within three minutes of the restart. Despite Girona's clear statistical dominance across the ninety minutes, neither side could find a winner in a match that grew increasingly fractious as it progressed.

Match Analysis

Girona controlled large portions of the game, holding 57% possession and completing passes at an 82% success rate compared to Elche's 71%. Michel's side — led from the bench by Miguel Ángel Sánchez Muñoz — created the clearer opportunities, registering 10 shots in total, seven of which were on target, against Elche's modest return of just 3 shots, only one on target. With 6 key passes to Elche's 2 and 46 dangerous attacks to the visitors' 39, the home side were the more threatening outfit for much of the contest.

Yet it was Eder Sarabia's Elche who struck first. In the 39th minute, Álvaro Daniel Rodríguez Muñoz converted with his left foot from an assist by Pedro Bigas, punishing Girona on the counter and giving the visitors a lead they held into half-time — helped in no small part by Bryan Gil Salvatierra picking up a yellow card in added time.

The second half began dramatically. Elche made an immediate substitution, bringing on John Nwankwo Donald for the booked Aboubacar Sangaré Traoré — who had been carded as early as the 7th minute — while David Affengruber was also shown yellow at 47'. Then, almost immediately, Arnau Martínez equalised for Girona in the 48th minute with a composed right-foot finish to level proceedings.

Sánchez Muñoz responded with a triple substitution at the 58th minute, introducing Cristhian Stuani, Francisco Beltrán, and Hugo Rincón in an attempt to inject fresh energy. Later, Claudio Echeverri and Thomas Lemar were also introduced. Despite the changes, Girona could not convert their statistical superiority into a second goal. The closing stages were heated, with five yellow cards distributed between the 83rd and 85th minutes alone — Echeverri, Lemar, Marc Aguado, and Germán Valera all entering the book in a fractious finale.

Elche, to their credit, remained organised and soaked up sustained pressure with 20 fouls — equal to Girona's tally — showing a determined defensive resolve as their own substitutes Adrià Giner, André Silva, Hector Fort, and Léo Pétrot helped see out the draw.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–1 draw, which proved to be exactly the outcome. With a confidence rating of 55/100, the analysis acknowledged the competitive balance between the two sides, and the match statistics — particularly the foul counts (20 apiece) and Elche's counter-attacking threat — ultimately validated that cautious outlook. Prediction outcome: correct.

Key Takeaways

  • Girona dominated the statistics but lacked the clinical edge to convert their chances, managing just one goal despite seven shots on target.
  • Elche's efficiency was notable — one shot on target, one goal — underscoring their disciplined, low-block approach under Sarabia.
  • The mass of yellow cards in the final stages highlights a game that increasingly boiled over, with nine bookings in total across both sides.
  • Both teams leave with a point in what was a fair reflection of a closely contested, if uneven, affair.

Girona vs Elche Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Girona and Elche: Girona 3W · 1D · Elche 1W.

3

1

1

Sat, May 23, 2026Girona1-1Elche
Sun, Dec 7, 2025Elche3-0Girona
Sat, Jan 6, 2024Elche0-2Girona
Sun, Apr 16, 2023Girona2-0Elche
Tue, Nov 8, 2022Elche1-2Girona

Girona vs Elche — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Girona vs Elche?

PredictNext's AI model favours Girona with a 50% win probability — Girona 50%, draw 26%, Elche 24%.

What is the predicted score for Girona vs Elche?

The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Girona vs Elche, generated with 55% model confidence.

Will Girona vs Elche have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for under 2.5 goals in Girona vs Elche.

How accurate was the Girona vs Elche prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 1-1. The winner call was incorrect.

More La Liga AI Predictions