La Liga · Matchday
2026-10-17 14:15:00 · 22:15 · Estadio de la Cerámica
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 0-0
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365VALUE | 1.42 | 5.25 | 6.25 | -12.0% | +10.3% | +6.3% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 1.43 | 5.28 | 6.71 | -11.3% | +10.9% | +14.1% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 1.44 | 5.32 | 6.33 | -10.7% | +11.7% | +7.6% |
| WilliamHillVALUE | 1.44 | 4.60 | 6.00 | -10.7% | -3.4% | +2.0% |
| BetfairVALUE | 1.44 | 5.00 | 6.50 | -10.7% | +5.0% | +10.5% |
| bwinVALUE | 1.49 | 3.80 | 7.25 | -7.6% | -20.2% | +23.3% |
| UnibetVALUE | 1.44 | 4.10 | 7.50 | -10.7% | -13.9% | +27.5% |
| LadbrokesVALUE | 1.44 | 5.00 | 6.00 | -10.7% | +5.0% | +2.0% |
| CoralVALUE | 1.44 | 5.00 | 6.50 | -10.7% | +5.0% | +10.5% |
| MansionBetVALUE | 1.52 | 3.75 | 8.00 | -5.8% | -21.3% | +36.0% |
| InterwettenVALUE | 1.45 | 5.00 | 6.25 | -10.1% | +5.0% | +6.3% |
| Sbo | 1.40 | 4.36 | 5.51 | -13.2% | -8.4% | -6.3% |
| MelBetVALUE | 1.47 | 3.86 | 8.60 | -8.9% | -18.9% | +46.2% |
| MacauslotVALUE | 1.33 | 5.05 | 6.10 | -17.5% | +6.0% | +3.7% |
| DafabetVALUE | 1.47 | 5.00 | 6.20 | -8.9% | +5.0% | +5.4% |
| CloudBetVALUE | 1.46 | 3.90 | 8.50 | -9.5% | -18.1% | +44.5% |
| BetssonVALUE | 1.45 | 3.65 | 7.70 | -10.1% | -23.4% | +30.9% |
| CashpointVALUE | 1.46 | 3.79 | 8.16 | -9.5% | -20.4% | +38.7% |
| MarathonbetVALUE | 1.44 | 5.00 | 6.70 | -10.7% | +5.0% | +13.9% |
| BetVictorVALUE | 1.40 | 5.00 | 7.00 | -13.2% | +5.0% | +19.0% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Villarreal 0-0 Elche | La Liga | October 17, 2026
Result Summary
A frustrating afternoon at the Estadio de la Cerámica ended in a goalless stalemate as Villarreal were unable to convert a commanding territorial advantage into goals against a resolute Elche side. Despite dominating proceedings for large stretches, Iñigo Pérez's men were held to a share of the spoils by Martin Anselmi's well-organised visitors, who proved difficult to break down despite facing sustained pressure throughout.
Match Analysis
The statistics paint a clear picture of Villarreal's dominance — and of their wastefulness. The Yellow Submarine registered 20 total shots to Elche's 7, including 7 on target against just 1 from the visitors, and won 10 corners to Elche's 5. Villarreal also held 58% possession, completed 87% of their passes, and recorded 71 dangerous attacks compared to Elche's 23. On paper, this was a performance built for a comfortable home win. In practice, it delivered nothing.
The opening period was relatively settled, though Elche midfielder Gonzalo Villar del Fraile picked up a yellow card at 38' for a foul, signalling the visitors' willingness to disrupt Villarreal's rhythm through physicality. Villarreal's front line — led by Tani Oluwaseyi and Ayoze Pérez — showed flashes, but Elche's backline, marshalled in part by Víctor Chust García and Roy Revivo, stood firm.
A significant flashpoint arrived in the 61st minute, when a VAR review involved Roy Revivo and Alberto Moleiro González, followed by a further review concerning Revivo at 63'. The details of those reviews ultimately left the situation unchanged on the field, though they added to the tension that would characterise the second half.
Both coaches turned to their benches to shift the momentum. Elche brought on José Antonio Morente Oliva, Martim Carvalho Neto, and Fernando Niño Rodriguez in a triple substitution at 65', while Villarreal responded with Pape Gueye, Georges Mikautadze, and N. Saliba at 66'. The arrivals of Gerard Moreno Balaguero at 75' and Nizar El Jmili Ben Hamou at 84' added further impetus for Villarreal, but the Elche defensive block refused to yield.
Discipline frayed as the game wore on. Elche's Morente Oliva and Revivo were both booked after coming on, while a heated exchange at 90+1' resulted in late yellows for both Víctor Chust García and Villarreal's Juan Marcos Foyth. Villarreal's Alexander Freeman had also been cautioned at 81', reflecting the frustration building on the home side.
Notably, Villarreal's 6 offsides underline how frequently their attackers pushed the line — a sign of urgency that also cost them on several promising occasions.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast had called for a Villarreal win (2-1), with a 62% probability assigned to a home victory. The prediction did not account for Elche's defensive resilience or Villarreal's inability to convert clear opportunities. With 7 shots on target and sustained pressure in dangerous areas, the expected outcome appeared reasonable — but football rarely rewards volume alone. The result was incorrect, and the draw (given a 21% probability) proved to be the outcome. A confidence rating of 67/100 reflected some uncertainty, but not quite enough.
Takeaways
- Villarreal dominated statistically but failed to convert — a recurring concern that Iñigo Pérez will need to address.
- Elche were disciplined and compact, conceding just 1 shot on target despite sustained pressure — a testament to Martin Anselmi's defensive organisation.
- VAR played a notable role mid-match without altering the scoreline.
- Both teams drop points: Villarreal will feel they
Villarreal vs Elche Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Villarreal and Elche: Villarreal 7W · 5D · Elche 2W.
7
Villarreal wins
5
Draws
2
Elche wins
Villarreal vs Elche — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Villarreal vs Elche?
PredictNext's AI model favours Villarreal with a 62% win probability — Villarreal 62%, draw 21%, Elche 17%.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Elche?
The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Villarreal vs Elche, generated with 67% model confidence.
Will Villarreal vs Elche have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 58% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for under 2.5 goals in Villarreal vs Elche.
How accurate was the Villarreal vs Elche prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 0-0. The winner call was incorrect.