
Allsvenskan · Matchday
2026-10-23 17:00:00 · 01:00 · Borås Arena

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 0-0
AI Prediction
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Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.30 | -12.0% | -6.4% | -1.0% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 2.04 | 3.67 | 3.36 | -10.2% | -4.6% | +0.8% |
| 1xbet | 2.05 | 3.55 | 3.32 | -9.8% | -7.7% | -0.4% |
| WilliamHill | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 | -12.0% | -11.6% | -1.0% |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.30 | -12.0% | -6.4% | -1.0% |
| bwin | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.30 | -9.8% | -9.0% | -1.0% |
| Ladbrokes | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.10 | -12.0% | -14.2% | -7.0% |
| Coral | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.10 | -12.0% | -14.2% | -7.0% |
| MelBet | 2.05 | 3.55 | 3.32 | -9.8% | -7.7% | -0.4% |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.25 | -12.0% | -9.0% | -2.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.55 | 3.32 | -10.7% | -7.7% | -0.4% |
| Sbo | 2.04 | 3.09 | 2.97 | -10.2% | -19.7% | -10.9% |
| Macauslot | 1.98 | 3.58 | 2.92 | -12.9% | -6.9% | -12.4% |
| DafabetVALUE | 2.08 | 3.70 | 3.35 | -8.5% | -3.8% | +0.5% |
| MansionBetVALUE | 2.02 | 3.45 | 3.40 | -11.1% | -10.3% | +2.0% |
Polymarket Odds
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Match Report
Elfsborg 0–0 Malmö FF | Allsvenskan | 23 October 2026
Result Summary
A hard-fought stalemate at Elfsborg's ground produced a goalless draw, with neither side able to find a breakthrough despite generating a combined 28 shots across 90-plus minutes. The point may serve different purposes for each club depending on their respective league positions, but on the evidence of this contest, the result was a fair reflection of an evenly matched afternoon.
Match Analysis
Despite Malmö FF enjoying the greater share of possession — 56% to Elfsborg's 44% — the home side more than held their own in terms of creative output. Elfsborg registered 14 shots in total, level with Malmö FF, and led convincingly in the corners department at 8 to 2, suggesting sustained pressure in wide areas and repeated deliveries into the box. That neither side could convert from such volume — with both teams managing just 2 shots on target — underlines how effectively the defences functioned on the day.
Malmö FF's attacking intent was evident from the statistics: 97 attacks and 41 dangerous attacks gave them the edge in volume, yet coach Gaute Ugelstad Helstrup will be frustrated that his side could not translate that pressure into a goal. Elfsborg's backline, marshalled throughout, was particularly disciplined in limiting clear-cut opportunities despite the visitors' territorial dominance.
The card count told a story of growing frustration as the match wore on. Stian Rode Gregersen picked up a booking for Malmö FF just before half-time, while the second half brought further yellows for Thomas Poppler-Isherwood (74') and Anders Christiansen (76') — the latter having only entered the game at the break as a substitute. Elfsborg's Sebastian Holmén (87') and Niklas Hult (90+4') were cautioned in the closing stages as both sides pushed for a winner, reflecting the competitive edge that characterised the contest's finale.
The substitutions painted a picture of coaches searching for a decisive spark. Björn Hamberg introduced Simon Hedlund and Ari Sigurpálsson at the 65-minute mark, and later brought on Marcus Rohdén, Sebastian Holmén, and Taylor Silverholt in quick succession. Helstrup made a triple change of his own at 65', with Emmanuel Ekong, Daniel Gudjohnsen, and Christiansen all featuring, and Viggo Jeppsson adding fresh legs in the 80th minute. Despite the shuffling of resources on both benches, the final scoreline remained unchanged.
Successful passing accuracy was identical at 85% for both sides, and fouls were level at 10 apiece — a statistical symmetry that reinforces just how closely contested this match truly was.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match analysis forecast a 1–1 draw, with a 26% probability assigned to the draw outcome. While the actual scoreline was 0–0 rather than the predicted 1–1, the draw result was correctly identified, making this a successful forecast overall. The relatively low confidence score of 56/100 appropriately reflected the competitive balance between these two sides, and the match statistics validated that assessment entirely — this was a contest where neither team held a decisive edge.
Key Takeaways
- Defensive solidity defined the afternoon, with both goalkeepers rarely seriously tested despite the volume of efforts.
- Elfsborg's corner dominance (8–2) was a notable feature but ultimately went unrewarded in front of goal.
- Malmö FF's possession advantage did not translate into a clearer cutting edge, raising questions about their efficiency in the final third.
- The flurry of late bookings and substitutions confirmed that both managers were desperate to avoid dropping points, making the draw feel like a hard-earned rather than comfortable result for both camps.
Elfsborg vs Malmö FF Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Elfsborg and Malmö FF: Elfsborg 13W · 10D · Malmö FF 20W.
13
Elfsborg wins
10
Draws
20
Malmö FF wins
Elfsborg vs Malmö FF — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Elfsborg vs Malmö FF?
PredictNext's AI model favours Elfsborg with a 44% win probability — Elfsborg 44%, draw 26%, Malmö FF 30%.
What is the predicted score for Elfsborg vs Malmö FF?
The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Elfsborg vs Malmö FF, generated with 56% model confidence.
Will Elfsborg vs Malmö FF have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Elfsborg vs Malmö FF.
How accurate was the Elfsborg vs Malmö FF prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 0-0. The winner call was incorrect.