Elfsborg
Elfsborg
1 vs 3

Allsvenskan · Matchday

2026-07-19 14:30:00 · 22:30 · Borås Arena

Sirius
Sirius

AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 1-3

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Elfsborg
ELF
1 - 2
Sirius
SIR
59%
Confidence
Low Confidence
28.0%Home
25.0%Draw
47.0%Away
29.5%Home
26.3%Draw
44.3%Away
**Sirius** enter this Allsvenskan clash as clear favorites against **Elfsborg**, with the away side holding a notably higher win probability despite playing on the road. The key tactical factor will be Sirius's ability to stay compact defensively and exploit transitions against a home side expected to control possession. AI pick: Sirius Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredELF or SIR
75% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
68% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?Yes
58% both teams score
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreIsak BjerkeboAlso: Robbie Ure, Neo Jonsson

Goal Probability

ELF SIR
38%
0%
0
46%
37%
1
15%
63%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

28%
28%
+0.1%
25%
26%
-1.0%
47%
46%
+0.8%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3653.403.601.95-4.8%-10.0%-8.4%
Pinnacle3.393.632.04-5.1%-9.3%-4.1%
1xbet3.353.582.04-6.2%-10.5%-4.1%
WilliamHill3.303.402.00-7.6%-15.0%-6.0%
Betfair3.253.802.00-9.0%-5.0%-6.0%
bwin3.303.602.00-7.6%-10.0%-6.0%
Unibet3.503.651.90-2.0%-8.8%-10.7%
Ladbrokes3.203.401.95-10.4%-15.0%-8.4%
10Bet3.303.602.05-7.6%-10.0%-3.7%
BetVictor3.253.502.00-9.0%-12.5%-6.0%
Marathonbet3.353.582.02-6.2%-10.5%-5.1%
Sbo3.053.262.02-14.6%-18.5%-5.1%
MelBet3.353.582.04-6.2%-10.5%-4.1%
CloudBet3.303.552.00-7.6%-11.3%-6.0%
Dafabet3.503.702.03-2.0%-7.5%-4.6%
Coral3.203.401.95-10.4%-15.0%-8.4%

Polymarket Odds

Loading prediction market data...

Trading Strategy

Loading market depth data...

Match Report

Sirius Stun Elfsborg with Late Blitz in Allsvenskan Thriller

Result Summary

A remarkable final eight minutes completely turned this Allsvenskan encounter on its head at Borås Arena. Sirius arrived as the predicted away favourites and delivered emphatically, scoring three times in a breathtaking closing spell to condemn Elfsborg to a 1–3 defeat. For the majority of the contest, this looked destined to be a tight, evenly-contested affair — but Andreas Engelmark's side found another gear when it mattered most.


Match Analysis

For the better part of 80 minutes, the statistics told the story of two evenly-matched sides. Elfsborg edged possession at times but ultimately finished with 49% to Sirius's 51%, and both teams generated comparable attacking volumes — 98 attacks for the hosts versus 101 for Sirius, with dangerous attacks similarly close at 46 to 50. On the surface, a draw appeared a plausible outcome.

However, the critical divergence was in shot quality. Elfsborg managed 19 shots in total but only 3 on target, while Sirius converted their superior accuracy into results, registering 9 shots on target from 18 attempts. That disparity told the story long before the scoreline did.

The first half was interrupted by a flurry of bookings. Rasmus Wikström was cautioned for Elfsborg in the 19th minute, followed by Sebastian Holmén in the 24th. On the Sirius side, M. Soumah was booked in the 37th minute, and stoppage time at the end of the half brought simultaneous yellow cards for both Oscar Krusnell and Marcus Lindberg amid a heated argument.

Elfsborg's coach Björn Hamberg made several tactical adjustments after the interval, introducing Alexander Jensen, Arbër Zeneli, Marcus Rohdén, and Linnéa Östman in an attempt to shift the game's momentum. Sirius responded by bringing on Victor Svensson in the 70th minute, and the visitors gradually asserted control.

Then came the extraordinary finale. In the 82nd minute, M. Soumah headed home from an Isak Bjerkebo assist to break the deadlock. Just two minutes later, Robbie Ure added a second with a left-foot finish, again set up by the industrious Bjerkebo. The tie was effectively sealed in the 88th minute when Elfsborg's own Oscar Krusnell turned the ball into his own net. Robbie Ure then completed his brace in the 90th minute with another left-foot effort, capping a stunning collapse for the hosts.

Isak Bjerkebo's two assists made him arguably the standout contributor before being replaced by Simon Sandberg in the 89th minute, while Ure's double was clinical and decisive.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match analysis pointed toward a Sirius victory (47% probability), with a forecast of 1–2. The predicted outcome proved correct — Sirius did win — though the actual scoreline of 1–3 surpassed expectations in terms of margin. The 59/100 confidence rating reflected genuine uncertainty given how evenly matched the two sides appeared on paper, and that parity held for much of the match. The late flurry of goals masked what was a fiercely competitive contest before the 82nd minute.


Key Takeaways

  • Sirius's clinical efficiency was the defining factor — 9 shots on target compared to Elfsborg's 3 is a decisive edge.
  • Isak Bjerkebo was instrumental with two assists before being substituted late on.
  • Robbie Ure delivered a match-winning performance with a brace in the closing stages.
  • Elfsborg's inability to convert their 19 shots into meaningful danger ultimately cost them dearly against a ruthless Sirius side.

Elfsborg vs Sirius Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Elfsborg and Sirius: Elfsborg 8W · 3D · Sirius 7W.

8

3

7

Sun, Oct 26, 2025Sirius4-0Elfsborg
Wed, Apr 23, 2025Elfsborg4-3Sirius
Sun, Oct 6, 2024Sirius4-1Elfsborg
Mon, Apr 29, 2024Elfsborg2-0Sirius
Sun, Aug 6, 2023Elfsborg1-0Sirius

Elfsborg vs Sirius — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Elfsborg vs Sirius?

PredictNext's AI model favours Sirius with a 47% win probability — Elfsborg 28%, draw 25%, Sirius 47%.

What is the predicted score for Elfsborg vs Sirius?

The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Elfsborg vs Sirius, generated with 59% model confidence.

Will Elfsborg vs Sirius have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 68% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for under 2.5 goals in Elfsborg vs Sirius.

How accurate was the Elfsborg vs Sirius prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 1-3. The winner call was correct.

More Allsvenskan AI Predictions