
Allsvenskan · Matchday
2026-07-19 14:30:00 · 22:30 · Borås Arena

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 1-3
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.95 | -4.8% | -10.0% | -8.4% |
| Pinnacle | 3.39 | 3.63 | 2.04 | -5.1% | -9.3% | -4.1% |
| 1xbet | 3.35 | 3.58 | 2.04 | -6.2% | -10.5% | -4.1% |
| WilliamHill | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.00 | -7.6% | -15.0% | -6.0% |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.00 | -9.0% | -5.0% | -6.0% |
| bwin | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.00 | -7.6% | -10.0% | -6.0% |
| Unibet | 3.50 | 3.65 | 1.90 | -2.0% | -8.8% | -10.7% |
| Ladbrokes | 3.20 | 3.40 | 1.95 | -10.4% | -15.0% | -8.4% |
| 10Bet | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.05 | -7.6% | -10.0% | -3.7% |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.00 | -9.0% | -12.5% | -6.0% |
| Marathonbet | 3.35 | 3.58 | 2.02 | -6.2% | -10.5% | -5.1% |
| Sbo | 3.05 | 3.26 | 2.02 | -14.6% | -18.5% | -5.1% |
| MelBet | 3.35 | 3.58 | 2.04 | -6.2% | -10.5% | -4.1% |
| CloudBet | 3.30 | 3.55 | 2.00 | -7.6% | -11.3% | -6.0% |
| Dafabet | 3.50 | 3.70 | 2.03 | -2.0% | -7.5% | -4.6% |
| Coral | 3.20 | 3.40 | 1.95 | -10.4% | -15.0% | -8.4% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Sirius Stun Elfsborg with Late Blitz in Allsvenskan Thriller
Result Summary
A remarkable final eight minutes completely turned this Allsvenskan encounter on its head at Borås Arena. Sirius arrived as the predicted away favourites and delivered emphatically, scoring three times in a breathtaking closing spell to condemn Elfsborg to a 1–3 defeat. For the majority of the contest, this looked destined to be a tight, evenly-contested affair — but Andreas Engelmark's side found another gear when it mattered most.
Match Analysis
For the better part of 80 minutes, the statistics told the story of two evenly-matched sides. Elfsborg edged possession at times but ultimately finished with 49% to Sirius's 51%, and both teams generated comparable attacking volumes — 98 attacks for the hosts versus 101 for Sirius, with dangerous attacks similarly close at 46 to 50. On the surface, a draw appeared a plausible outcome.
However, the critical divergence was in shot quality. Elfsborg managed 19 shots in total but only 3 on target, while Sirius converted their superior accuracy into results, registering 9 shots on target from 18 attempts. That disparity told the story long before the scoreline did.
The first half was interrupted by a flurry of bookings. Rasmus Wikström was cautioned for Elfsborg in the 19th minute, followed by Sebastian Holmén in the 24th. On the Sirius side, M. Soumah was booked in the 37th minute, and stoppage time at the end of the half brought simultaneous yellow cards for both Oscar Krusnell and Marcus Lindberg amid a heated argument.
Elfsborg's coach Björn Hamberg made several tactical adjustments after the interval, introducing Alexander Jensen, Arbër Zeneli, Marcus Rohdén, and Linnéa Östman in an attempt to shift the game's momentum. Sirius responded by bringing on Victor Svensson in the 70th minute, and the visitors gradually asserted control.
Then came the extraordinary finale. In the 82nd minute, M. Soumah headed home from an Isak Bjerkebo assist to break the deadlock. Just two minutes later, Robbie Ure added a second with a left-foot finish, again set up by the industrious Bjerkebo. The tie was effectively sealed in the 88th minute when Elfsborg's own Oscar Krusnell turned the ball into his own net. Robbie Ure then completed his brace in the 90th minute with another left-foot effort, capping a stunning collapse for the hosts.
Isak Bjerkebo's two assists made him arguably the standout contributor before being replaced by Simon Sandberg in the 89th minute, while Ure's double was clinical and decisive.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match analysis pointed toward a Sirius victory (47% probability), with a forecast of 1–2. The predicted outcome proved correct — Sirius did win — though the actual scoreline of 1–3 surpassed expectations in terms of margin. The 59/100 confidence rating reflected genuine uncertainty given how evenly matched the two sides appeared on paper, and that parity held for much of the match. The late flurry of goals masked what was a fiercely competitive contest before the 82nd minute.
Key Takeaways
- Sirius's clinical efficiency was the defining factor — 9 shots on target compared to Elfsborg's 3 is a decisive edge.
- Isak Bjerkebo was instrumental with two assists before being substituted late on.
- Robbie Ure delivered a match-winning performance with a brace in the closing stages.
- Elfsborg's inability to convert their 19 shots into meaningful danger ultimately cost them dearly against a ruthless Sirius side.
Elfsborg vs Sirius Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Elfsborg and Sirius: Elfsborg 8W · 3D · Sirius 7W.
8
Elfsborg wins
3
Draws
7
Sirius wins
Elfsborg vs Sirius — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Elfsborg vs Sirius?
PredictNext's AI model favours Sirius with a 47% win probability — Elfsborg 28%, draw 25%, Sirius 47%.
What is the predicted score for Elfsborg vs Sirius?
The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Elfsborg vs Sirius, generated with 59% model confidence.
Will Elfsborg vs Sirius have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 68% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for under 2.5 goals in Elfsborg vs Sirius.
How accurate was the Elfsborg vs Sirius prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 1-3. The winner call was correct.