Häcken
Häcken
3 vs 2

Allsvenskan · Matchday

2026-05-31 12:00:00 · 20:00 · Nordic Wellness Arena

Hammarby
Hammarby

AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 3-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Häcken
HAC
1 - 2
Hammarby
HAM
52%
Confidence
Low Confidence
33.0%Home
25.0%Draw
42.0%Away
Hammarby enter as away favourites against Häcken, boosted by a strong H2H record of three wins in the last five meetings, while the hosts are undermined by the absence of S.Koné through a knee injury. Hammarby's away press could exploit a Häcken midfield weakened by that loss. AI pick: Hammarby Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHAC or HAM
75% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
55% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?Yes
52% both teams score
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNikola VasicAlso: Paulos Abraham, Nahir Besara

Goal Probability

HAC HAM
19%
0%
0
49%
57%
1
33%
43%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

33%
32%
+0.8%
25%
26%
-0.7%
42%
42%
-0.2%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3653.003.602.20-1.0%-10.0%-7.6%
PinnacleVALUE3.063.762.22+1.0%-6.0%-6.8%
1xbetVALUE3.043.642.22+0.3%-9.0%-6.8%
WilliamHill2.883.502.20-5.0%-12.5%-7.6%
Betfair2.803.602.10-7.6%-10.0%-11.8%
bwin2.903.602.20-4.3%-10.0%-7.6%
Unibet2.903.552.15-4.3%-11.3%-9.7%
Ladbrokes2.803.402.15-7.6%-15.0%-9.7%
Marathonbet3.003.622.16-1.0%-9.5%-9.3%
BetVictor2.753.602.20-9.2%-10.0%-7.6%
Dafabet3.003.752.23-1.0%-6.3%-6.3%
10Bet2.803.802.25-7.6%-5.0%-5.5%
Interwetten2.903.652.25-4.3%-8.8%-5.5%
Cashpoint2.803.752.19-7.6%-6.3%-8.0%
MelBet3.003.622.18-1.0%-9.5%-8.4%
Coral2.803.402.15-7.6%-15.0%-9.7%
Macauslot2.603.612.16-14.2%-9.8%-9.3%
Sbo2.853.452.23-5.9%-13.7%-6.3%
CloudBet3.003.702.20-1.0%-7.5%-7.6%
MansionBet2.813.702.35-7.3%-7.5%-1.3%
888Sport2.883.502.20-5.0%-12.5%-7.6%

Polymarket Odds

Loading prediction market data...

Trading Strategy

Loading market depth data...

Match Report

Häcken 3–2 Hammarby | Allsvenskan | 31 May 2026

Result Summary

In a compelling Allsvenskan derby, Häcken overturned a two-goal deficit to claim a dramatic 3–2 victory over Hammarby at home. Victor Stange Lind had put the visitors in full control with a brace before the hour mark, but Häcken's second-half character — sparked by substitutes — proved the difference as the hosts clawed their way back to secure all three points.

Match Analysis

Hammarby started with intent and were rewarded early. Victor Stange Lind opened the scoring in the 9th minute, converting with a right-foot finish from a Paulos Abraham assist. The visitors dominated large portions of the first half, enjoying 56% possession and generating 73 dangerous attacks to Häcken's 33 across the full 90 minutes — a statistical picture that reflected Hammarby's sustained control. Stange Lind doubled the advantage in the 39th minute with another right-foot effort, and Kalle Karlsson's side headed into the break looking well-placed for three points.

The second half told a very different story. Jens Gustafsson's Häcken reduced the deficit in the 55th minute when Silas Andersen converted with a left-foot shot, assisted by Adam Lundqvist. Notably, Andersen had been booked in the 28th minute, making his goal contribution all the more significant under pressure. The momentum had visibly shifted, and Häcken's 18 total shots — despite the possession imbalance — underlined their attacking efficiency when it mattered.

The turning point came from the bench. Adrian Lars Fredrik Svanbäck, introduced in the 69th minute as a substitute for Mikkel Rygaard, needed just ten minutes to make his mark — levelling at 2–2 in the 79th minute with a left-foot finish, assisted by Julius Lindberg. That goal completed the comeback and, though the match facts do not record a fourth goal in chronological order, the final scoreline of 3–2 to Häcken confirms the hosts found a decisive third. The closing stages were tense, with Andreas Linde and Jeremy Nosakhare Agbonifo both collecting yellows for time wasting deep in stoppage time — a clear sign of how hard Häcken worked to protect the result.

Hammarby, for their part, made a series of late changes in an attempt to respond, bringing on Oscar Johansson, Oliver Jordan Hagen, and Dennis Collander, but were unable to restore parity. Their 8 fouls and three yellow cards across the match — for Erik Hampus Skoglund, Victor Eriksson, and Skoglund again being replaced late on — pointed to growing frustration.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast backed a Hammarby away win with a 42% probability, while Häcken's home win was rated at 33%. The prediction confidence was low at 52/100, reflecting genuine uncertainty in this derby fixture. In the end, the forecast proved incorrect. Hammarby did perform as expected for much of the match, controlling possession and carrying the greater attacking threat — but football's capacity for second-half comebacks, particularly through impactful substitutions, ultimately undermined the statistical case for a Hammarby victory.

Key Takeaways

  • Victor Stange Lind's brace gave Hammarby a platform that ultimately went to waste — ruthless finishing in the first half, but insufficient resilience to hold on.
  • Substitute impact was decisive for Häcken; both Svanbäck and the broader second-half shift showed the quality in Gustafsson's squad depth.
  • Despite being outpossessed (44% vs 56%) and facing more attacks, Häcken's 7 shots on target matched their clinical edge.
  • Hammarby will be frustrated — the stats largely favoured them, but Häcken's character earned a deserved win.

Häcken vs Hammarby Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Häcken and Hammarby: Häcken 11W · 10D · Hammarby 8W.

11

10

8

Sun, May 31, 2026Häcken3-2Hammarby
Sun, Sep 21, 2025Hammarby4-0Häcken
Sun, Apr 27, 2025Häcken1-1Hammarby
Thu, Sep 26, 2024Hammarby2-0Häcken
Sun, Apr 21, 2024Häcken2-1Hammarby

Häcken vs Hammarby — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Häcken vs Hammarby?

PredictNext's AI model favours Hammarby with a 42% win probability — Häcken 33%, draw 25%, Hammarby 42%.

What is the predicted score for Häcken vs Hammarby?

The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Häcken vs Hammarby, generated with 52% model confidence.

Will Häcken vs Hammarby have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for under 2.5 goals in Häcken vs Hammarby.

How accurate was the Häcken vs Hammarby prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 3-2. The winner call was incorrect.

More Allsvenskan AI Predictions