Hammarby
Hammarby
4 vs 0

Allsvenskan · Matchday

2026-07-19 14:30:00 · 22:30 · Tele2 Arena

Degerfors
Degerfors

AI Predicted: 2-0|Actual: 4-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Hammarby
HAM
2 - 0
Degerfors
DEG
67%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
72.0%Home
18.0%Draw
10.0%Away
73.4%Home
16.4%Draw
10.2%Away
Hammarby enter as clear favorites, bolstered by a dominant H2H record of three wins in the last five meetings, while Degerfors arrive severely disrupted with Eriksson, Fritzson, and Girmai all ruled out through suspension. The triple absence guts Degerfors' squad depth and could expose their defensive shape against Hammarby's attacking press. AI pick: Hammarby Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHAM or Draw
90% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
52% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
58% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNikola VasicAlso: Nahir Besara, Paulos Abraham

Goal Probability

HAM Degerfors
0%
52%
0
32%
48%
1
55%
0%
2
13%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

72%
74%
-1.6%
18%
17%
+0.9%
10%
9%
+0.7%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3651.275.0010.00-8.6%-10.0%0.0%
PinnacleVALUE1.275.729.51-8.6%+3.0%-4.9%
1xbetVALUE1.265.5511.00-9.3%-0.1%+10.0%
WilliamHill1.255.0010.00-10.0%-10.0%0.0%
BetfairVALUE1.255.5011.00-10.0%-1.0%+10.0%
bwin1.285.509.50-7.8%-1.0%-5.0%
UnibetVALUE1.235.8010.00-11.4%+4.4%0.0%
Ladbrokes1.255.008.50-10.0%-10.0%-15.0%
MarathonbetVALUE1.255.5511.00-10.0%-0.1%+10.0%
BetVictor1.225.5010.00-12.2%-1.0%0.0%
Coral1.255.008.50-10.0%-10.0%-15.0%
DafabetVALUE1.295.809.80-7.1%+4.4%-2.0%
Sbo1.274.947.62-8.6%-11.1%-23.8%
CloudBetVALUE1.245.609.30-10.7%+0.8%-7.0%
MelBetVALUE1.265.5511.00-9.3%-0.1%+10.0%
10BetVALUE1.255.2512.00-10.0%-5.5%+20.0%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Hammarby 4–0 Degerfors | Allsvenskan | 19 July 2026

Result Summary

Hammarby delivered a commanding home performance at Tele2 Arena, dismantling Degerfors with a clinical 4–0 victory in Allsvenskan. Paulos Abraham opened the scoring before a devastating six-minute spell in the second half — featuring two goals from Montader Madjed and one from substitute Tesfaldet Tekie — put the result beyond all doubt. Henrik Rydström's side were dominant in virtually every statistical category, sending a clear message to the rest of the division.


Match Analysis

Hammarby were in control from the outset. With 64% ball possession, an 89% successful pass rate, and a staggering 152 attacks compared to Degerfors' 84, the hosts dictated the tempo with authority. The clearest indicator of superiority came in the shot count: Hammarby registered 21 total shots and 11 on target, while Henok Goitom's visitors could only muster 8 shots and a single effort on target across the entire ninety minutes.

The opening goal arrived just before the break. Victor Lind provided the assist and Paulos Abraham converted with a right-foot finish in the 40th minute, giving Hammarby a deserved lead heading into the interval.

The match was effectively ended in a remarkable three-goal burst between the 69th and 75th minutes. Montader Madjed got in on the scoresheet first in the 69th minute, again benefiting from a Victor Lind assist, slotting home with his left foot. Four minutes later, second-half substitute Tesfaldet Tekie — introduced for Nahir Besara at the hour mark — added a third, finishing with his right foot from a Markus Karlsson assist. Just two minutes after that, Madjed completed his brace in the 75th minute, this time assisted by Abraham, to make it 4–0.

Degerfors struggled throughout, compounded by four offsides and an inability to construct meaningful attacking phases — their 22 dangerous attacks compared to Hammarby's 58 underlines just how thoroughly they were outclassed. Alexander Lindgren received a yellow card in the 85th minute for a foul, though by that point the contest had long been decided. Hammarby's 16 key passes to Degerfors' 8 further illustrated the creative imbalance across the pitch.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 2–0 Hammarby victory, with a 72% probability assigned to a home win at a confidence level of 67/100. The prediction outcome was correct — Hammarby did win comfortably — though the margin was even larger than anticipated. The model correctly identified Hammarby's home advantage and Degerfors' vulnerability, but the sheer volume of goals, particularly the explosive burst in the final quarter-hour of regular play, exceeded the projected scoreline. A well-grounded forecast that underestimated the hosts' ruthlessness in front of goal.


Key Takeaways

  • Montader Madjed was the standout individual with a brace, both goals assisted by different teammates, demonstrating his movement and finishing quality.
  • Victor Lind was influential before his substitution, racking up two assists and showcasing his creative importance to Hammarby's attacking play.
  • Degerfors' single shot on target across the entire match is deeply concerning for Henok Goitom — a defensive solidity issue the coaching staff will need to address urgently.
  • Hammarby's 89% passing accuracy and dominant possession suggest a side in excellent collective form heading deeper into the Allsvenskan campaign.

Hammarby vs Degerfors Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Hammarby and Degerfors: Hammarby 6W · 2D · Degerfors 0W.

6

2

0

Mon, Nov 3, 2025Degerfors1-1Hammarby
Mon, May 26, 2025Hammarby1-0Degerfors
Thu, May 25, 2023Degerfors2-2Hammarby
Sun, Apr 2, 2023Hammarby3-1Degerfors
Mon, Aug 22, 2022Hammarby5-1Degerfors

Hammarby vs Degerfors — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Hammarby vs Degerfors?

PredictNext's AI model favours Hammarby with a 72% win probability — Hammarby 72%, draw 18%, Degerfors 10%.

What is the predicted score for Hammarby vs Degerfors?

The AI forecasts a 2-0 scoreline for Hammarby vs Degerfors, generated with 67% model confidence.

Will Hammarby vs Degerfors have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Hammarby vs Degerfors.

How accurate was the Hammarby vs Degerfors prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-0; the match finished 4-0. The winner call was correct.

More Allsvenskan AI Predictions