Hammarby
Hammarby
2 vs 0

Allsvenskan · Matchday

2026-07-12 12:00:00 · 20:00 · Tele2 Arena

Kalmar
Kalmar

AI Predicted: 2-0|Actual: 2-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Hammarby
HAM
2 - 0
Kalmar
KAL
66%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
65.0%Home
20.0%Draw
15.0%Away
67.1%Home
18.6%Draw
14.3%Away
Hammarby enter as clear favorites, backed by a strong home record and notably superior attacking output this season. The key matchup to watch is Hammarby's pressing intensity against Kalmar's defensive structure, with the hosts' midfield control likely proving decisive in breaking down a visiting side that struggles on the road. AI pick: Hammarby Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHAM or Draw
85% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
55% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
55% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNikola VasicAlso: Nahir Besara, Paulos Abraham

Goal Probability

HAM KAL
0%
46%
0
32%
54%
1
52%
0%
2
15%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

65%
67%
-1.8%
20%
19%
+0.8%
15%
14%
+1.0%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3651.424.756.50-7.7%-5.0%-2.5%
PinnacleVALUE1.425.126.82-7.7%+2.4%+2.3%
1xbet1.444.826.60-6.4%-3.6%-1.0%
WilliamHill1.404.606.00-9.0%-8.0%-10.0%
Betfair1.334.606.50-13.5%-8.0%-2.5%
bwin1.424.756.50-7.7%-5.0%-2.5%
UnibetVALUE1.325.008.00-14.2%0.0%+20.0%
Ladbrokes1.404.406.00-9.0%-12.0%-10.0%
InterwettenVALUE1.405.007.00-9.0%0.0%+5.0%
DafabetVALUE1.415.207.00-8.4%+4.0%+5.0%
CashpointVALUE1.375.306.20-10.9%+6.0%-7.0%
10BetVALUE1.364.757.60-11.6%-5.0%+14.0%
Coral1.404.406.00-9.0%-12.0%-10.0%
Macauslot1.334.756.10-13.5%-5.0%-8.5%
MansionBetVALUE1.405.106.90-9.0%+2.0%+3.5%
Sbo1.394.726.57-9.7%-5.6%-1.4%
CloudBetVALUE1.405.106.85-9.0%+2.0%+2.7%
MarathonbetVALUE1.394.856.80-9.7%-3.0%+2.0%
BetVictor1.364.756.50-11.6%-5.0%-2.5%
MelBet1.444.826.60-6.4%-3.6%-1.0%
888Sport1.404.606.00-9.0%-8.0%-10.0%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Hammarby 2–0 Kalmar | Allsvenskan | 12 July 2026

Result Summary

Hammarby delivered a composed and largely dominant home performance at Tele2 Arena, securing a comfortable 2–0 victory over Kalmar in this Allsvenskan fixture. An early strike from Paulos Abraham set the tone in the 10th minute, and an unfortunate own goal by Aboubacar Keita shortly after the interval sealed the points for Henrik Rydström's side. Kalmar, managed by Toni Koskela, struggled to register a single shot on target throughout the 90 minutes and were largely second-best across the key statistical categories.

Match Analysis

Hammarby wasted little time asserting their authority. Paulos Abraham opened the scoring with a composed left-foot finish in the 10th minute, rewarding an early period of pressure that would become a theme across the entire match. The hosts finished the game with 18 total shots to Kalmar's 10, including 6 shots on target compared to Kalmar's zero — a striking disparity that underlines just how one-sided the contest was in terms of genuine goal threat.

Hammarby's control extended well beyond attacking output. They dominated possession at 56% to 44%, generated 113 attacks to Kalmar's 94, and created 54 dangerous attacks compared to just 35 from the visitors. Their passing was equally tidy, with a successful pass percentage of 89%, marginally ahead of Kalmar's 88%, though the difference in clinical intent was far more pronounced. 13 key passes from Hammarby versus 7 from Kalmar further illustrates where the game's quality was concentrated.

The second goal arrived six minutes into the second half and came via misfortune for the visitors — Aboubacar Keita turning the ball into his own net in the 51st minute to double Hammarby's lead. Kalmar responded with a flurry of substitutions, bringing on Nassef Chourak, Sivert Øverby, Chukwuemeka Paul Nnamani, and Marius Söderbäck in an attempt to find a foothold in the game, but none of their changes could unlock a resolute Hammarby defence marshalled effectively by Frederik Winther and Erik Hampus Skoglund.

Hammarby also made tactical adjustments as the game matured, introducing Frank Junior Adjei and Oscar Johansson on the hour mark, before Oliver Jordan Hagen and Moise Elohim Kabore came on in the 78th minute. Kabore was cautioned immediately upon entering the field, and Victor Eriksson collected a yellow card deep into stoppage time, though neither incident impacted the outcome.

Hammarby's 5 corners to Kalmar's 1 reinforced the territorial dominance they maintained from first whistle to last, while Kalmar's 8 shots off target exposed a lack of precision in the rare moments they did threaten.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 2–0 Hammarby win, with a 65% probability assigned to a home victory and an overall confidence rating of 66/100. The prediction proved entirely correct — not only in the outcome but in the exact scoreline. Hammarby's statistical superiority was anticipated, and the match data validated that assessment emphatically, particularly given Kalmar's complete inability to test goalkeeper Warner Hahn.

Key Takeaways

  • Paulos Abraham provided the decisive early spark with a well-taken left-foot finish inside 10 minutes.
  • Kalmar's zero shots on target throughout the match reflects a deeply concerning attacking display.
  • Hammarby's 54 dangerous attacks and 13 key passes underline Henrik Rydström's side as genuine title contenders.
  • A clean sheet and dominant statistics make this one of Hammarby's more complete home performances of the season.

Hammarby vs Kalmar Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Hammarby and Kalmar: Hammarby 8W · 11D · Kalmar 11W.

8

11

11

Sun, Aug 4, 2024Kalmar1-4Hammarby
Sun, Mar 31, 2024Hammarby3-1Kalmar
Sun, Aug 20, 2023Kalmar0-0Hammarby
Sun, Jul 16, 2023Hammarby3-1Kalmar
Sun, Oct 30, 2022Hammarby4-2Kalmar

Hammarby vs Kalmar — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Hammarby vs Kalmar?

PredictNext's AI model favours Hammarby with a 65% win probability — Hammarby 65%, draw 20%, Kalmar 15%.

What is the predicted score for Hammarby vs Kalmar?

The AI forecasts a 2-0 scoreline for Hammarby vs Kalmar, generated with 66% model confidence.

Will Hammarby vs Kalmar have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for under 2.5 goals in Hammarby vs Kalmar.

How accurate was the Hammarby vs Kalmar prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-0; the match finished 2-0. The winner call was correct.

More Allsvenskan AI Predictions