Allsvenskan · Matchday
2026-07-20 17:00:00 · 01:00 · Guldfågeln Arena
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 2-2
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365VALUE | 2.30 | 3.50 | 3.00 | -14.9% | -9.0% | +11.0% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 2.40 | 3.72 | 2.80 | -11.2% | -3.3% | +3.6% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 2.30 | 3.50 | 3.00 | -14.9% | -9.0% | +11.0% |
| WilliamHill | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.62 | -11.2% | -11.6% | -3.1% |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.63 | -14.9% | -11.6% | -2.7% |
| bwinVALUE | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.75 | -9.3% | -11.6% | +1.8% |
| Unibet | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.45 | -7.5% | -11.6% | -9.3% |
| Ladbrokes | 2.37 | 3.20 | 2.62 | -12.3% | -16.8% | -3.1% |
| Sbo | 2.45 | 3.28 | 2.65 | -9.3% | -14.7% | -2.0% |
| 10Bet | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.55 | -5.7% | -9.0% | -5.7% |
| Interwetten | 2.45 | 3.45 | 2.70 | -9.3% | -10.3% | -0.1% |
| Cashpoint | 2.35 | 3.60 | 2.65 | -13.0% | -6.4% | -2.0% |
| MelBetVALUE | 2.39 | 3.50 | 2.72 | -11.6% | -9.0% | +0.6% |
| DafabetVALUE | 2.75 | 3.55 | 2.46 | +1.8% | -7.7% | -9.0% |
| CloudBetVALUE | 2.35 | 3.65 | 2.80 | -13.0% | -5.1% | +3.6% |
| BetVictorVALUE | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.25 | +1.8% | -9.0% | -16.8% |
| Betsson | 2.68 | 3.60 | 2.38 | -0.8% | -6.4% | -11.9% |
| MansionBetVALUE | 2.84 | 3.65 | 2.36 | +5.1% | -5.1% | -12.7% |
| MarathonbetVALUE | 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.74 | -11.9% | -9.0% | +1.4% |
| Coral | 2.37 | 3.20 | 2.62 | -12.3% | -16.8% | -3.1% |
| Macauslot | 2.48 | 3.28 | 2.40 | -8.2% | -14.7% | -11.2% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Kalmar 2–2 Malmö FF | Allsvenskan | 20 July 2026
Result Summary
A pulsating afternoon at Guldfågeln Arena ended in a hard-fought 2–2 draw, as Kalmar twice took the lead only to be pegged back by a Malmö FF side that dominated possession and territory throughout. The point leaves both clubs with mixed feelings — Kalmar will wonder what might have been, while Malmö will rue their inability to convert a significant statistical advantage into a winning margin.
Match Analysis
Kalmar made the perfect start when Carl Gustafsson broke the deadlock in the 13th minute, finishing from a Charles Sagoe Jr assist to give the home side an early platform. The opening goal was against the statistical run of play — Malmö ultimately finished the match with 69% possession, 141 attacks to Kalmar's 63, and 17 total shots to Kalmar's 11 — yet Toni Koskela's side proved resilient and dangerous on the counter.
Malmö's response was swift. Noah Åstrand John levelled matters in the 29th minute, converting from an Erik Botheim assist with his left foot to restore parity. The equaliser might have settled the visitors, but Kalmar struck again almost immediately — Charlie Rosenquist restoring the home side's lead in the 33rd minute, finishing from R. Gojani's assist to make it 2–1 at the break.
The first half ended on a sour note for Malmö, with Kenan Busuladzic collecting a yellow card in first-half stoppage time for a foul, followed quickly after the restart by Otto Rosengren also being booked in the 47th minute. Those two early cautions appeared to affect Malmö's intensity in the third quarter, though Gaute Ugelstad Helstrup made decisive double substitutions at half-time, bringing on Isaac Assibu and Bleon Kurtulus to freshen the attack.
The changes had the desired effect. Adrian Skogmar drew Malmö level in the 64th minute, converting a Sead Haksabanovic assist with his right foot to make it 2–2. Despite Malmö's statistical dominance — 5 corners, 14 key passes, and an 88% successful pass rate — they could not find a winner, with Kalmar's goalkeeper and defensive organisation keeping their shots on target count to just three. Notably, Kalmar's 4 shots on target compared to Malmö's three is a striking inversion of the overall shot count, highlighting the home side's clinical edge on the night.
Noah Åstrand John picked up a late yellow card in the 90th minute, capping a frustrating evening for the Malmö goalscorer.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–1 draw, with home and away probability both sitting at 37% and a draw at 26%. The confidence level was modest at 53/100, reflecting genuine uncertainty between two competitive sides. While the scoreline differed — two goals apiece rather than one — the draw outcome was correctly predicted, making this a successful forecast. The statistical profile of the match, with Malmö's heavy possession and Kalmar's counter-attacking threat, aligned well with the balanced probability assessment.
Key Takeaways
- Kalmar's efficiency was remarkable given their 31% possession — four shots on target from 11 total is a strong conversion rate under pressure.
- Malmö's attack, led by contributions from Botheim, Haksabanovic, and Skogmar, created enough volume but lacked the final cutting edge.
- Discipline was a concern for Malmö, with three yellow cards in a single match potentially carrying consequences as the season progresses.
- Kalmar's compact defensive structure under Koskela continues to make them a difficult proposition at home, even against top-flight opponents.
Kalmar vs Malmö FF Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Kalmar and Malmö FF: Kalmar 10W · 7D · Malmö FF 23W.
10
Kalmar wins
7
Draws
23
Malmö FF wins
Kalmar vs Malmö FF — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kalmar vs Malmö FF?
PredictNext's AI model favours Kalmar with a 37% win probability — Kalmar 37%, draw 26%, Malmö FF 37%.
What is the predicted score for Kalmar vs Malmö FF?
The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Kalmar vs Malmö FF, generated with 53% model confidence.
Will Kalmar vs Malmö FF have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for under 2.5 goals in Kalmar vs Malmö FF.
How accurate was the Kalmar vs Malmö FF prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 2-2. The winner call was incorrect.