
Allsvenskan · Matchday
2026-07-17 17:00:00 · 01:00 · Strandvallen

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 0-0
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365VALUE | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.00 | -10.0% | -16.0% | +4.0% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 1.81 | 4.19 | 3.72 | -9.5% | +0.6% | -3.3% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 1.79 | 3.96 | 3.90 | -10.5% | -5.0% | +1.4% |
| BetfairVALUE | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.90 | -10.0% | -8.8% | +1.4% |
| bwin | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.80 | -8.5% | -10.0% | -1.2% |
| UnibetVALUE | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.20 | -15.0% | -6.4% | +9.2% |
| Ladbrokes | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.60 | -10.0% | -16.0% | -6.4% |
| 10BetVALUE | 1.83 | 3.65 | 4.00 | -8.5% | -12.4% | +4.0% |
| MarathonbetVALUE | 1.77 | 3.96 | 3.92 | -11.5% | -5.0% | +1.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.75 | -10.0% | -11.2% | -2.5% |
| Sbo | 1.84 | 3.33 | 3.50 | -8.0% | -20.1% | -9.0% |
| Macauslot | 1.81 | 3.58 | 3.40 | -9.5% | -14.1% | -11.6% |
| DafabetVALUE | 1.87 | 3.80 | 4.00 | -6.5% | -8.8% | +4.0% |
| MansionBet | 1.86 | 3.75 | 3.60 | -7.0% | -10.0% | -6.4% |
| MelBetVALUE | 1.79 | 3.96 | 3.89 | -10.5% | -5.0% | +1.1% |
| Coral | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.60 | -10.0% | -16.0% | -6.4% |
| CloudBet | 1.77 | 4.10 | 3.65 | -11.5% | -1.6% | -5.1% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Mjällby 0–0 Västerås SK | Allsvenskan | 17 July 2026
Result Summary
A hard-fought stalemate at Mjällby's home ground saw both sides share the points in a goalless draw. Despite Karl Marius Aksum's side dominating large portions of the contest in terms of possession and chances created, they were unable to find the breakthrough, while Alexander Rubin's Västerås SK showed sufficient resilience to frustrate the hosts and earn a point on the road.
Match Analysis
Mjällby were the more ambitious side throughout, and the statistics underline that clearly. The hosts controlled 59% of possession, registered 15 shots in total compared to Västerås SK's five, and carved out 11 corners against the visitors' three. Perhaps most telling was the key passes tally — Mjällby recorded 11 to Västerås SK's two — suggesting a side that was consistently constructing opportunities without the clinical edge to convert them.
However, with only three shots on target from those 15 attempts, the hosts' final third execution let them down repeatedly. The xG narrative essentially tells itself: plenty of approach play, but not enough quality in the decisive moments.
The second half saw both coaching staffs turn to their benches in search of a spark. Aksum made a double change at the 55th minute, introducing Jacob Bergström and Ali Youssef, followed by further alterations in the 66th and 77th minutes, including Martin Agnarsson and Ludvig Tidstrand. Rubin responded in the 62nd minute, bringing on Jonathan Karlsson and Victor Wernersson, with additional changes later as Västerås SK looked to manage the game and exploit any spaces on the counter.
The match grew increasingly fractious in its closing stages. Six yellow cards were distributed across the final half-hour: Bonaventure Lendambi was booked at 58' for a foul, before a heated exchange in the 71st minute saw both Ismet Lushaku and Tony Miettinen cautioned for arguing. Ludvig Tidstrand, Axel Sountonoma Taonsa, and Martin Agnarsson followed in quick succession between the 78th and 85th minutes, painting a picture of growing tension as the game remained locked at 0–0. Västerås SK's 16 fouls compared to Mjällby's nine further illustrates the visitors' willingness to disrupt and break up play.
Interestingly, while Mjällby dominated in attacking metrics, Västerås SK actually recorded more total attacks — 115 to Mjällby's 100 — though Mjällby led on dangerous attacks (58 vs 40), indicating that quality of incursion favoured the home side even if raw volume did not.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast leaned towards a Mjällby home win at 50% probability, with a final score prediction of 2–1. That forecast proved incorrect, with the actual result landing in the 24% draw scenario. The confidence level of 55/100 reflected genuine uncertainty heading into this fixture, and in fairness, the underlying data from the match does support the idea that Mjällby were the more likely winners — they simply couldn't convert their dominance into goals. The draw was an outcome against the grain of the performance statistics, but football regularly punishes profligacy.
Key Takeaways
- Mjällby created but couldn't convert — 15 shots, 11 key passes, and 11 corners yielded nothing.
- Västerås SK were defensively resolute, conceding few clear-cut opportunities despite sitting deeper for much of the match.
- The disciplinary flare-up in the closing stages — six bookings — reflects the intensity and frustration that built as the deadlock refused to break.
- A point each feels like a greater reward for Västerås SK, who leave with a creditable away draw against a side that significantly outperformed them on most statistical measures.
Mjällby vs Västerås SK Head-to-Head
Last 2 meetings between Mjällby and Västerås SK: Mjällby 1W · 0D · Västerås SK 1W.
1
Mjällby wins
0
Draws
1
Västerås SK wins
Mjällby vs Västerås SK — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mjällby vs Västerås SK?
PredictNext's AI model favours Mjällby (also known as Mjallby) with a 50% win probability — Mjällby 50%, draw 24%, Västerås SK 26%.
What is the predicted score for Mjällby vs Västerås SK?
The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Mjällby vs Västerås SK, generated with 55% model confidence.
Will Mjällby vs Västerås SK have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 58% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for under 2.5 goals in Mjällby vs Västerås SK.
How accurate was the Mjällby vs Västerås SK prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 0-0. The winner call was incorrect.