
Allsvenskan · Matchday
2026-10-18 14:30:00 · 22:30 · Gamla Ullevi

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 4-2
AI Prediction
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Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.61 | -5.0% | -12.0% | -5.0% |
| Pinnacle | 4.87 | 4.21 | 1.61 | -7.5% | -7.4% | -5.0% |
| 1xbet | 4.70 | 4.10 | 1.63 | -10.7% | -9.8% | -3.8% |
| WilliamHill | 4.50 | 3.80 | 1.65 | -14.5% | -16.4% | -2.7% |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 4.20 | 1.62 | -9.8% | -7.6% | -4.4% |
| bwin | 4.80 | 4.10 | 1.62 | -8.8% | -9.8% | -4.4% |
| Ladbrokes | 4.50 | 3.80 | 1.57 | -14.5% | -16.4% | -7.4% |
| Sbo | 4.24 | 3.63 | 1.57 | -19.4% | -20.1% | -7.4% |
| Macauslot | 4.20 | 3.85 | 1.58 | -20.2% | -15.3% | -6.8% |
| MelBet | 4.69 | 4.10 | 1.63 | -10.9% | -9.8% | -3.8% |
| Coral | 4.50 | 3.80 | 1.57 | -14.5% | -16.4% | -7.4% |
| Marathonbet | 4.75 | 4.10 | 1.61 | -9.8% | -9.8% | -5.0% |
| Cashpoint | 4.57 | 4.00 | 1.61 | -13.2% | -12.0% | -5.0% |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 3.90 | 1.60 | -9.8% | -14.2% | -5.6% |
| MansionBet | 4.35 | 3.90 | 1.69 | -17.4% | -14.2% | -0.3% |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 4.20 | 1.65 | -8.8% | -7.6% | -2.7% |
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Trading Strategy
Match Report
Örgryte 4–2 GAIS | Allsvenskan | 18 October 2026
Result Summary
A dramatic Göteborg derby ended in a convincing home victory as Örgryte turned the game on its head to claim all three points at home. Despite trailing at half-time and being thoroughly outplayed in terms of possession, Örgryte produced a clinical second-half display — capped by a stunning brace from substitute Viktor Ekblom — to run out 4–2 winners against city rivals GAIS.
Match Analysis
On paper, the statistics paint a picture of dominant GAIS control. The visitors held 68% ball possession, registered 131 attacks to Örgryte's 85, and created 55 dangerous attacks compared to just 27 for the hosts. GAIS also had more shots overall — 18 to 15 — and won six corners to Örgryte's three. By virtually every territorial metric, this was a GAIS performance.
Yet football, as ever, rewards efficiency over aesthetics. Örgryte won the shots-on-target battle 6–4, and their 12 key passes ultimately proved more decisive than GAIS's superior 84% passing accuracy.
The opening goal came in the 21st minute, when Liam Filip Andersson met a Benjamin Laturnus delivery with a well-placed header to give Örgryte the lead. GAIS responded emphatically before the break, however, with Anes Cardaklija heading home — assisted by Robin Wendin Thomasson — in the 41st minute to level things up. The tie appeared to swing further in GAIS's favour three minutes into the second half when Wendin Thomasson turned provider into scorer, converting a Cardaklija assist with his left foot to make it 2–1 in the 48th minute.
The complexion of the match changed entirely when Örgryte brought on Viktor Ekblom in the 70th minute to replace the goalscoring Andersson. The impact was immediate and emphatic. First, Ekblom finished smartly from a Michael Parker assist in the 70th minute — levelling the score virtually upon his introduction. He then struck again in the 74th minute, this time set up by Owen Parker-Price, to hand Örgryte a lead they would not relinquish. A fifth goal capped the turnaround, completing a remarkable 4–2 scoreline for the hosts.
GAIS made five substitutions in a bid to alter the momentum — bringing on Max Andersson, Matteo de Brienne, Henry Sletsjøe, Nikola Vasic, and Jonas Lindberg at various intervals — but none could stem the Örgryte tide. Yellows for Robin Frej (44') and Simon Girke Jørgensen (65') reflected growing GAIS frustration, while Örgryte's Daniel Paulson was cautioned in the 76th minute.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast did not hold up on this occasion. The model assigned a 59% probability to a GAIS victory with a confidence level of 68/100, predicting a 0–2 away win. That projection was grounded in GAIS's territorial and possession-based strengths, which did materialise — but the analysis underestimated Örgryte's counter-attacking threat and their capacity to convert chances at a significantly higher rate. This match serves as a reminder that dominance in possession and attack volume does not guarantee the result, particularly in high-stakes local derbies where mentality and clinical finishing can override statistical superiority.
Key Takeaways
- Viktor Ekblom's introduction was the match-defining moment, his two left-footed goals within four minutes completing a stunning turnaround.
- Örgryte's defensive resilience and counter-attacking efficiency proved decisive despite heavy territorial pressure.
- GAIS's inability to convert their significant territorial advantage — 55 dangerous attacks yielding just 4 shots on target — proved fatal.
- For coach Andreas Holmberg, this derby win will rank as one of the season's most memorable results.
Örgryte vs GAIS Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Örgryte and GAIS: Örgryte 1W · 0D · GAIS 4W.
1
Örgryte wins
0
Draws
4
GAIS wins
Örgryte vs GAIS — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Örgryte vs GAIS?
PredictNext's AI model favours GAIS with a 59% win probability — Örgryte 19%, draw 22%, GAIS 59%.
What is the predicted score for Örgryte vs GAIS?
The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Örgryte vs GAIS, generated with 68% model confidence.
Will Örgryte vs GAIS have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Örgryte vs GAIS.
How accurate was the Örgryte vs GAIS prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 4-2. The winner call was incorrect.