Allsvenskan · Matchday
2026-07-11 15:30:00 · 23:30 · Gamla Ullevi
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 4-3
AI Prediction
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Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 6.00 | 4.75 | 1.44 | -10.0% | -0.3% | -7.8% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 6.09 | 4.86 | 1.48 | -8.7% | +2.1% | -5.3% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 6.10 | 4.83 | 1.46 | -8.5% | +1.4% | -6.6% |
| WilliamHill | 5.50 | 4.40 | 1.44 | -17.5% | -7.6% | -7.8% |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.50 | 1.40 | -25.0% | -5.5% | -10.4% |
| bwin | 5.25 | 4.60 | 1.51 | -21.3% | -3.4% | -3.4% |
| Unibet | 5.80 | 4.60 | 1.43 | -13.0% | -3.4% | -8.5% |
| Ladbrokes | 5.00 | 4.40 | 1.44 | -25.0% | -7.6% | -7.8% |
| Interwetten | 5.75 | 4.70 | 1.50 | -13.8% | -1.3% | -4.0% |
| Coral | 5.00 | 4.40 | 1.44 | -25.0% | -7.6% | -7.8% |
| Marathonbet | 6.00 | 4.75 | 1.44 | -10.0% | -0.3% | -7.8% |
| Macauslot | 5.05 | 4.70 | 1.40 | -24.3% | -1.3% | -10.4% |
| MansionBet | 5.40 | 4.50 | 1.56 | -19.0% | -5.5% | -0.2% |
| MelBet | 5.90 | 4.75 | 1.45 | -11.5% | -0.3% | -7.2% |
| 10Bet | 5.10 | 4.50 | 1.53 | -23.5% | -5.5% | -2.1% |
| BetVictor | 5.50 | 4.50 | 1.44 | -17.5% | -5.5% | -7.8% |
| CloudBetVALUE | 6.00 | 4.80 | 1.46 | -10.0% | +0.8% | -6.6% |
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 4.50 | 1.56 | -19.0% | -5.5% | -0.2% |
| Sbo | 5.61 | 4.69 | 1.44 | -15.8% | -1.5% | -7.8% |
| Cashpoint | 5.56 | 4.75 | 1.45 | -16.6% | -0.3% | -7.2% |
Polymarket Odds
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Match Report
Örgryte 4–3 Häcken | Allsvenskan | 11 July 2026
Result Summary
In one of the most enthralling Allsvenskan fixtures of the season, Örgryte produced a stunning home performance to defeat Häcken 4–3 at their Gamla Ullevi fortress. Despite being outplayed in terms of possession and overall attacking volume, Andreas Holmberg's side showed clinical composure and remarkable resilience to overturn a half-time deficit and claim all three points in dramatic fashion.
Match Analysis
Örgryte made the perfect start when Adam Andersson, assisted by Owen Parker-Price, fired home with a right-foot shot in just the 5th minute. However, Häcken — the statistically dominant side throughout — responded swiftly. Julius Lindberg levelled matters in the 12th minute, assisted by Adam Lundkvist, before Adrian Svanbäck headed Häcken into a 41st-minute lead to send Jens Gustafsson's men into the break ahead.
The statistics paint a picture of Häcken's control: 58% possession, 108 attacks to Örgryte's 87, 68 dangerous attacks against 40, and 19 total shots to Örgryte's 14. On paper, this looked like a performance that should have yielded a comfortable victory.
Yet the second half belonged entirely to Örgryte. A key turning point came in the 65th minute, when coach Holmberg introduced Jerome Tibbling Ugwo — a substitution that proved decisive. Noah Christoffersson pulled Örgryte level in the 70th minute, with Tibbling Ugwo providing the assist. Just five minutes later, Tibbling Ugwo himself headed home an Adam Andersson assist to make it 3–2 in the 75th minute.
Häcken immediately hit back through Abdoulaye Doumbia, who converted a Julius Lindberg assist in the 77th minute to restore parity at 3–3. With tension at its peak, it was Noah Christoffersson who delivered the decisive blow — finishing with his left foot from an Owen Parker-Price cross in the 87th minute to seal a breathtaking 4–3 victory.
Four yellow cards were distributed across the afternoon — Filip Helander and Adam Lundkvist for Häcken, Tobias Sana and Sebastian Lagerlund for Örgryte — reflecting the intensity of the contest without any match-defining disciplinary disruption.
Christoffersson was arguably the standout performer, netting twice in a crucial spell, while Parker-Price demonstrated his quality with two key assists. Örgryte's efficiency was striking: just 10 shots on target between the two sides, but Örgryte converted 4 of their 5 shots on target.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast pointed firmly toward a Häcken victory, assigning them a 64% probability against Örgryte's 15%, with a confidence rating of 60/100. That prediction proved incorrect. While the underlying data — Häcken's superior possession, attacking numbers, and shot volume — supported the forecast logic, football's unpredictable nature delivered a counter-narrative. Örgryte's efficiency in front of goal and their ability to absorb pressure and strike decisively in the final twenty minutes completely defied the statistical expectation.
Key Takeaways
- Örgryte's clinical edge made the difference; their 78% passing accuracy was lower than Häcken's 87%, but they generated 14 key passes to Häcken's 12, suggesting better quality in the final third.
- Jerome Tibbling Ugwo's introduction at 65' was the pivotal substitution, directly contributing to two goals within ten minutes of coming on.
- Häcken's dominance in the stats ultimately counted for nothing — a reminder that xG-style efficiency can override territorial control.
- Örgryte's ability to secure victories from behind will make them a dangerous proposition for any Allsvenskan opponent going forward.
Örgryte vs Häcken Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Örgryte and Häcken: Örgryte 1W · 2D · Häcken 3W.
1
Örgryte wins
2
Draws
3
Häcken wins
Örgryte vs Häcken — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Örgryte vs Häcken?
PredictNext's AI model favours Häcken (also known as Hacken) with a 64% win probability — Örgryte 15%, draw 21%, Häcken 64%.
What is the predicted score for Örgryte vs Häcken?
The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Örgryte vs Häcken, generated with 60% model confidence.
Will Örgryte vs Häcken have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for under 2.5 goals in Örgryte vs Häcken.
How accurate was the Örgryte vs Häcken prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 4-3. The winner call was incorrect.